Treemoondus was built on a simple belief: the mathematical edge that hedge funds use to make money in prediction markets should be available to everyone — not just firms with $50M in infrastructure.
Prediction markets like Kalshi have created a new asset class that's genuinely inefficient in exploitable ways. A 2024 research paper found that 41% of all conditions on Polymarket showed exploitable mispricing at some point.
The firms that know about this — Susquehanna, Jane Street, Jump Trading — are building dedicated quant desks to extract that edge. They have co-located servers, PhD teams, and unlimited capital.
Meanwhile, retail traders are left guessing on outcomes with no systematic edge and no risk management.
We built Treemoondus to change that. The same Avellaneda-Stoikov market making framework, the same VPIN toxicity detection, the same Kelly Criterion sizing — running on a $6/month cloud server, accessible to any trader willing to learn the strategy.
Susquehanna International Group (SIG) — one of the largest quantitative trading firms in the world — is actively hiring Senior Traders specifically for prediction market desks. The edge is institutional-level real.
Institutions have more capital than profitable opportunities to deploy. Markets with $50K total volume are too small for a hedge fund to justify. For a retail trader, that's an ideal market-making opportunity with minimal competition.
We don't promise guaranteed returns. Trading involves real risk. Our paper trading results are clearly labeled. We tell you exactly what to expect — and what not to.
Every decision in our system is driven by mathematical frameworks, not gut feel. Position sizes, spread widths, exit triggers — all calculated, all systematic.
The kill switch isn't a feature — it's a philosophy. Protecting your capital is always the first priority. Profits come second. Ruin prevention comes first.
We explain exactly how the bot works, what math it uses, and what its limitations are. No black boxes. No mystery. You understand exactly what's happening with your capital.
Avellaneda-Stoikov engine built and validated. VPIN detection operational. Dashboard live. Paper trading showing positive returns on simulated Kalshi markets.
Connect to Kalshi's live API. Begin real trading with real capital. Limited beta access for waitlist members. Validate live performance against paper trading results.
Full DigitalOcean cloud deployment. Public subscription launch. Professional ($199/month) and Enterprise tiers available. Automated onboarding flow.
Expand to additional prediction market platforms as APIs mature. Robinhood event contracts, additional CFTC-regulated venues. Increase market coverage to 100+ simultaneous positions.