BTC/USD $64,777 ▼1.66% ETH/USD $1,899 ▼1.56% SOL/USD $80.92 ▼1.15% FED RATE CUT MAY 34¢ ▲2.1% GOLD ABOVE $3000 37¢ ▲0.8% S&P 500 ABOVE 5100 62¢ ▼0.5% BTC ABOVE $95K MAR 58¢ ▲1.2% BTC/USD $64,777 ▼1.66% ETH/USD $1,899 ▼1.56% SOL/USD $80.92 ▼1.15% FED RATE CUT MAY 34¢ ▲2.1% GOLD ABOVE $3000 37¢ ▲0.8% S&P 500 ABOVE 5100 62¢ ▼0.5% BTC ABOVE $95K MAR 58¢ ▲1.2%
ALGORITHMIC MARKET MAKING — LIVE

Trade Smarter.
Not Faster.

Institutional-grade market making on prediction markets. Our Avellaneda-Stoikov engine captures bid-ask spreads across 20+ simultaneous markets — while sophisticated VPIN toxicity detection keeps your capital protected.

20+ Simultaneous Markets
44.8% Paper Win Rate
$0 Subscription to Start
treemoondus — market_maker.py
// TREEMOONDUS KALSHI MARKET MAKER
// Avellaneda-Stoikov Engine v2.0

Kalshi API Connected
WebSocket Feed Active
Kraken Price Feed Live
VPIN Monitor Running

── ACTIVE POSITIONS ──────────────
FED CUT MAY bid:29¢ ask:34¢ VPIN:0.00
BTC $95K MAR bid:38¢ ask:40¢ VPIN:0.28
GOLD $3000 bid:43¢ ask:45¢ VPIN:0.04
CRUDE OIL $95 bid:15¢ ask:17¢ VPIN:0.80

── RECENT FILLS ──────────────────
✓ SPREAD +$0.43 FED CUT YES@29¢
✓ SPREAD +$4.29 GOLD YES@37¢
✓ SPREAD +$28.70 CRUDE NO@15¢

TODAY P&L: +$114.12 // WIN: 44.8%
BANKROLL: $1,113.85
// HOW IT WORKS

The Edge Is in the Spread

We don't predict outcomes. We profit from the gap between what buyers and sellers pay — on every market, simultaneously, 24/7.

01 / SCAN
🔍

Market Discovery

Our engine scans hundreds of prediction market contracts, filtering for ideal conditions: wide spreads, healthy volume, and low toxicity scores.

02 / QUOTE
📐

Avellaneda-Stoikov Pricing

Institutional-grade market making math calculates optimal bid and ask prices dynamically, adjusting for inventory risk and market volatility in real time.

03 / PROTECT
🛡️

VPIN Toxicity Shield

When informed traders enter a market, our VPIN detector fires automatically — widening spreads or cancelling orders before adverse selection losses occur.

04 / PROFIT
💰

Spread Capture

When both sides of our quote fill, we pocket the spread. Kelly Criterion sizing ensures each position is sized optimally relative to our edge confidence.

// TECHNOLOGY

Built for Retail.
Powered by Institutional Math.

The same quantitative frameworks used by top trading desks — designed to run on a $6/month cloud server.

WebSocket Real-Time Data

Live orderbook updates pushed directly to our engine — no polling lag. We see price changes the moment they happen.

🧮

Kelly Criterion Sizing

Empirical Kelly with Monte Carlo uncertainty adjustment. Position sizes that maximize long-run growth without risking ruin.

🎯

VPIN Toxicity Detection

Three-tier alert system detects when informed traders enter markets. Automatic spread widening and order cancellation protects capital.

🏦

Inventory Management

Dynamic reservation price skewing prevents dangerous one-sided inventory buildup across all active positions simultaneously.

🔴

Hardware Kill Switch

Five automatic triggers plus one-click manual kill. Cancels all open orders across all markets in milliseconds.

📱

Telegram Alerts

Real-time notifications for every fill, stop loss, VPIN spike, and daily summary — directly to your phone.

// PRICING

Simple, Transparent Pricing

Start with a free paper trading account. Upgrade when you're ready to go live with real capital.

Starter

Paper Trading

Full system access with simulated markets. Validate the strategy before risking real capital.

$ 0 /month
  • 25 simulated prediction markets
  • Full Avellaneda-Stoikov engine
  • VPIN toxicity detection
  • Dashboard & Telegram alerts
  • Paper trading P&L tracking
Join Waitlist
Enterprise

Custom Deployment

Dedicated cloud infrastructure, custom market selection, and white-glove onboarding.

Custom
  • Dedicated DigitalOcean server
  • Custom market filters
  • Capital up to $50,000
  • Weekly strategy calls
  • Custom Telegram dashboard
  • White-glove onboarding
Contact Us

Join the Waitlist

We're onboarding a limited number of traders. Enter your email to secure your spot and get notified when live trading opens.

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Risk Disclosure: Prediction market trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past paper trading performance does not guarantee future live trading results. Never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose. Treemoondus is not a licensed financial advisor. Read full risk disclosure →